SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 51.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Talleres |
51.33% ( 0.26) | 25.54% ( -0.03) | 23.12% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.6% ( -0.07) | 54.4% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% ( -0.06) | 75.77% ( 0.06) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% ( 0.08) | 21.22% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.88% ( 0.13) | 54.11% ( -0.13) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.29% ( -0.26) | 38.71% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.55% ( -0.24) | 75.45% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 51.33% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.5% Total : 23.12% |
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