While Boca Juniors may be one of the most successful clubs in the competition's history, they have lost their last two Copa Libertadores finals, and with the showpiece event taking place at Fluminense's home ground, a win for the Brazilian side may be written in the stars. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%).

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Fluminense
45.31% ( 1.98)	26.26% ( -0.14)	28.43% ( -1.84)

Both teams to score 50.74% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.55% (

-0.28)

53.45% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.02% (

-0.23)

74.97% (

0.23)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.48% (

0.84)

23.52% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.44% (

1.2)

57.55% (

-1.21)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.34% (

-1.52)

33.65% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.69% (

-1.69)

70.3% (

1.68)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 45.31%

Fluminense 28.43%

Draw 26.25%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.31%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.43%