Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
Result | ||
Tamworth | Draw | Chorley |
42.15% (![]() | 26.86% (![]() | 30.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.28% (![]() | 54.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.96% (![]() | 76.04% (![]() |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% (![]() | 25.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% (![]() | 60.55% (![]() |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% (![]() | 32.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% (![]() | 68.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Tamworth | Draw | Chorley |
1-0 @ 11.31% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.67% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.15% | 1-1 @ 12.74% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.32% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.88% ( ![]() Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.37% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.98% |
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