SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for York City had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | York City |
40.97% ( 0.29) | 25.39% ( -0) | 33.63% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.12% ( -0.06) | 47.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.94% ( -0.05) | 70.06% ( 0.05) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( 0.12) | 23.2% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% ( 0.17) | 57.1% ( -0.17) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% ( -0.21) | 27.25% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.32% ( -0.27) | 62.68% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 33.63% |
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