SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 35.22%. A win for Guinea had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.94%) and 2-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Guinea win was 0-1 (13.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tanzania in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tanzania | Draw | Guinea |
35.22% ( 0.82) | 30.91% ( 0.34) | 33.87% ( -1.17) |
| Both teams to score 39.8% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.15% ( -1.02) | 67.85% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.17% ( -0.68) | 85.83% ( 0.68) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.56% ( 0.01) | 36.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.77% ( 0.01) | 73.22% ( -0.01) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.61% ( -1.39) | 37.39% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.83% ( -1.39) | 74.17% ( 1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tanzania | Draw | Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.93% Total : 35.22% | 0-0 @ 13.62% ( 0.5) 1-1 @ 13.53% 2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.91% | 0-1 @ 13.4% 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.77% Total : 33.87% |
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