SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Telstar win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
34.66% ( 0.08) | 24.62% ( 0) | 40.72% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.81% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% ( 0.01) | 44.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% ( 0.01) | 66.55% ( -0.01) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( 0.05) | 24.88% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.51% ( 0.07) | 59.49% ( -0.06) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% ( -0.03) | 21.71% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.12% ( -0.05) | 54.88% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.72% |
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