Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
Result | ||
Telstar | Draw | Helmond Sport |
49.53% ( 0.05) | 25.24% ( -0.03) | 25.23% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.32% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.52% ( 0.08) | 51.48% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.71% ( 0.07) | 73.29% ( -0.07) |
Telstar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.2% ( 0.05) | 20.8% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.54% ( 0.08) | 53.46% ( -0.08) |
Helmond Sport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.8% ( 0.03) | 35.2% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.05% ( 0.03) | 71.95% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Telstar | Draw | Helmond Sport |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.03% 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 49.53% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.23% |
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