Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Swift Hesperange had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Swift Hesperange win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
0.98) 
-1.05) 
