SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The Strongest | Draw | Gremio |
42.62% ( -2.65) | 24.74% ( 0.36) | 32.64% ( 2.29) |
| Both teams to score 57.79% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% ( -0.7) | 45.25% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.41% ( -0.67) | 67.59% ( 0.67) |
| The Strongest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( -1.47) | 21.28% ( 1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.8% ( -2.32) | 54.21% ( 2.32) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( 1.13) | 26.59% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% ( 1.47) | 61.82% ( -1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| The Strongest | Draw | Gremio |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.35)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.64% |
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