SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for The Strongest had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest The Strongest win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| The Strongest | Draw | River Plate |
26.5% ( 3.81) | 24.26% ( 1.35) | 49.24% ( -5.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.59% ( -2.35) | 46.41% ( 2.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.3% ( -2.25) | 68.7% ( 2.25) |
| The Strongest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( 1.91) | 31.44% ( -1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% ( 2.16) | 67.82% ( -2.15) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( -2.79) | 18.91% ( 2.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.59% ( -4.87) | 50.41% ( 4.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| The Strongest | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.98) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.71)2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.74)3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.35)Other @ 2.79% Total : 26.5% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.68) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.57)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.71)1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.69)0-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.87)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.52)0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.58)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.22)Other @ 3.22% Total : 49.24% |
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