SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 2-1 (6.87%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (13.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Lanus |
37.02% ( -0.67) | 31.42% ( -0.09) | 31.56% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 38.33% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.57% ( 0.35) | 69.43% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.13% ( 0.23) | 86.87% ( -0.23) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.9% ( -0.25) | 36.1% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.11% ( -0.25) | 72.89% ( 0.25) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.99% ( 0.8) | 40.01% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.34% ( 0.73) | 76.66% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.71% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.01% | 0-0 @ 14.44% ( -0.19) 1-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.41% | 0-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.4% Total : 31.56% |
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