SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Tigre |
40.96% ( 1.22) | 28.71% ( 0.32) | 30.33% ( -1.54) |
| Both teams to score 44.72% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.44% ( -1.47) | 61.55% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.59% ( -1.1) | 81.41% ( 1.1) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( -0.02) | 29.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.45% ( -0.02) | 65.55% ( 0.02) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( -1.94) | 36.53% ( 1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.68% ( -2) | 73.32% ( 2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.95% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.7% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.35)0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.88% Total : 30.33% |
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