SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 45.77%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Lanus |
45.77% ( 0.33) | 28.3% ( -0.05) | 25.93% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 43.42% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.01% ( 0.03) | 61.99% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.27% ( 0.02) | 81.73% ( -0.02) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( 0.19) | 27.14% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( 0.24) | 62.54% ( -0.24) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.6% ( -0.23) | 40.4% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.98% ( -0.21) | 77.02% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.3% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 45.77% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.32% Total : 25.93% |
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