Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
-0.41) 
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