SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Monterrey |
45.59% ( -0.16) | 24.72% ( 0.03) | 29.69% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.59% ( -0.05) | 46.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.31% ( -0.05) | 68.69% ( 0.05) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( -0.09) | 20.43% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.13% ( -0.14) | 52.87% ( 0.14) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( 0.06) | 29.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.98% ( 0.08) | 65.02% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigres | Draw | Monterrey |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.59% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.69% |
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