SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Puebla |
61% ( 1.21) | 21.56% ( -0.05) | 17.44% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( -2.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( -1.63) | 45.37% ( 1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( -1.58) | 67.7% ( 1.58) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.61% ( -0.16) | 14.39% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.72% ( -0.31) | 42.28% ( 0.31) |
| Puebla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.46% ( -2.28) | 39.54% ( 2.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.78% ( -2.19) | 76.22% ( 2.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigres | Draw | Puebla |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.69) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.62)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 60.99% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.55% | 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.44% |
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