SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | River Plate |
36.46% ( 0.07) | 28.11% ( 0.01) | 35.43% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.47% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.35% ( -0.03) | 58.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.8% ( -0.02) | 79.2% ( 0.02) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( 0.03) | 30.78% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( 0.03) | 67.04% ( -0.03) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( -0.07) | 31.42% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( -0.08) | 67.8% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.45% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.43% |
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