SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 35.96% | 28.8% ( 0) | 35.23% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.85% ( -0) | 61.14% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.9% | 81.1% ( 0) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% | 32.36% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.13% | 68.87% |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( -0) | 32.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.6% ( -0) | 69.4% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 11.83% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.23% |
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