Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
47.9% (![]() | 27.21% (![]() | 24.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.97% (![]() | 59.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.51% (![]() | 79.49% (![]() |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.27% (![]() | 24.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.72% (![]() | 59.28% (![]() |
Montevideo City Torque Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.33% (![]() | 39.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.65% (![]() | 76.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Penarol | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
1-0 @ 13.7% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.85% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 47.9% | 1-1 @ 12.67% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.81% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.07% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.86% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 1.4% Total : 24.88% |
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