Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
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