SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | River Plate |
31.99% ( 0.01) | 27.29% ( -0) | 40.71% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.31% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.92% ( 0.03) | 56.08% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.85% ( 0.02) | 77.15% ( -0.02) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( 0.02) | 32.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.07% ( 0.03) | 68.93% ( -0.03) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% ( 0.01) | 27.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.59% ( 0.01) | 62.41% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.99% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.71% |
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