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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 1-0 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
23.16% ( 0.3) | 25.89% ( -0.11) | 50.96% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.35% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.36% ( 0.65) | 55.65% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.2% ( 0.53) | 76.8% ( -0.53) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% ( 0.65) | 39.38% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.92% ( 0.6) | 76.08% ( -0.59) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( 0.19) | 21.89% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.85% ( 0.29) | 55.15% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.42% Total : 23.16% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 9.95% ( -0.13)1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.95% |
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