SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 46.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Danubio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
46.36% ( 0.11) | 28.67% ( 0.22) | 24.97% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 41.79% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.32% ( -0.87) | 63.68% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.04% ( -0.63) | 82.96% ( 0.62) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( -0.36) | 27.64% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.81% ( -0.46) | 63.18% ( 0.46) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.75% ( -0.81) | 42.24% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.35% ( -0.7) | 78.65% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 15.01% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.65% Total : 46.35% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.66% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.12% Total : 24.97% |
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