SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Torreense had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Torreense win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%).
| Result | ||
| Torreense | Draw | Tondela |
34.67% ( -0.09) | 26.11% ( 0.26) | 39.21% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.18% ( -1.13) | 50.81% ( 1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% ( -1) | 72.7% ( 1.01) |
| Torreense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( -0.6) | 28.03% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.31% ( -0.77) | 63.69% ( 0.77) |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% ( -0.61) | 25.43% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.75% ( -0.84) | 60.24% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torreense | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.67% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.21% |
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