SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Tondela |
37.23% ( -0.09) | 26.74% ( 0.12) | 36.02% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.74% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.67% ( -0.48) | 53.32% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.13% ( -0.4) | 74.87% ( 0.41) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0.28) | 27.71% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% ( -0.36) | 63.27% ( 0.36) |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% ( -0.25) | 28.42% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.82% ( -0.31) | 64.18% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.02% |
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