With Turra likely to make a few changes, the gulf in class between the clubs may not be as evident, but the Primeira Liga side should get the job done.
Tondela are on a woeful run of form and arresting it here appears unlikely against one of the form sides in Portugal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
1.47) 
-0.59) 
