Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
-0.06) 
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