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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 27, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
EF

Union Berlin
1 - 1
Frankfurt

Hollerbach (66')
Kemlein (30'), Leite (38'), Trimmel (84'), Vogt (87'), Schafer (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gotze (14')
Theate (38'), Tuta (74')
Theate (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-0 RFS
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Given Union Berlin's excellent defensive record, it is difficult to see them conceding more than once on Sunday. However, Eintracht Frankfurt have been strong away from home recently, and it would not be surprising if they fought their hosts to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawEintracht Frankfurt
38.6% (-0.777 -0.78) 24.14% (-0.194 -0.19) 37.26% (0.973 0.97)
Both teams to score 60.93% (0.807 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.43% (1.014 1.01)41.57% (-1.013 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.03% (1.019 1.02)63.97% (-1.017 -1.02)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (0.064000000000007 0.06)21.61% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29% (0.101 0.1)54.71% (-0.1 -0.1)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (0.96799999999999 0.97)22.28% (-0.966 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (1.432 1.43)55.73% (-1.431 -1.43)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 38.6%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 37.26%
    Draw 24.14%
Union BerlinDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 7.38% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.6%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.37% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.114 0.11)
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.16% (0.174 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.139 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.108 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.107 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.085 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Dortmund
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 St Pauli
Friday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-0 RFS
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-3 Bayern
Sunday, October 6 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Besiktas 1-3 Frankfurt
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-4 Frankfurt
Sunday, September 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-3 Plzen
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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