While Svensson has made a good start to life as Union Berlin boss, it is difficult to look past his side's poor away record. It would not be surprising if RB Leipzig were to keep another clean sheet at home, and continue their unbeaten streak at Red Bull Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Union Berlin
61.67% ( 0.06)	22.57% ( -0.02)	15.75% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 45.21% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.68% (

-0)

52.32% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.99% (

-0)

74.01% (

0.01)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

0.02)

16.51% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75% (

0.03)

46.25% (

-0.03)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.15% (

-0.06)

45.84% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.4% (

-0.04)

81.6% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 61.66%

Union Berlin 15.75%

Draw 22.57%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 61.66%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.57%	0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 15.75%