SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 47.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.84%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
47.63% ( 0.41) | 29.81% ( 0.14) | 22.56% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 37.26% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.72% ( -0.68) | 68.28% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.88% ( -0.45) | 86.12% ( 0.45) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( -0.13) | 29.24% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( -0.15) | 65.19% ( 0.15) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.66% ( -0.97) | 47.34% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.26% ( -0.73) | 82.74% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 17.02% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.32% Total : 47.62% | 0-0 @ 13.84% ( 0.35) 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.32% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.56% |
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