SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.87%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Rosario Central |
50.42% ( 0.73) | 28.67% ( 0.08) | 20.91% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 38.1% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.69% ( -0.79) | 66.31% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.2% ( -0.54) | 84.79% ( 0.54) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( -0.02) | 26.86% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.82% ( -0.03) | 62.18% ( 0.03) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.09% ( -1.34) | 47.91% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.84% ( -1.01) | 83.16% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 16.91% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.65% Total : 50.4% | 0-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.37) 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.35% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.25% Total : 20.91% |
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