SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 49.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Union had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Union |
49.57% ( 0.17) | 26.21% ( -0.17) | 24.21% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.51% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.02% ( 0.61) | 55.98% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% ( 0.49) | 77.07% ( -0.5) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( 0.33) | 22.64% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.73% ( 0.49) | 56.27% ( -0.5) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.42% ( 0.34) | 38.58% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.68% ( 0.32) | 75.32% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.84% Total : 49.57% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 24.21% |
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