SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Orenburg |
46.96% ( 0.98) | 25.9% ( -0.29) | 27.13% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 50.91% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% ( 0.71) | 52.8% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% ( 0.61) | 74.42% ( -0.61) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( 0.75) | 22.47% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( 1.12) | 56.01% ( -1.12) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% ( -0.17) | 34.33% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% ( -0.18) | 71.03% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Orenburg |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.14% Total : 46.96% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
