SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Ekenas IF |
51.65% ( -0.82) | 23.18% ( 0.13) | 25.17% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 57.92% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.25% ( 0.03) | 42.74% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.85% ( 0.03) | 65.14% ( -0.04) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.39% ( -0.28) | 16.61% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.57% ( -0.5) | 46.43% ( 0.5) |
| Ekenas IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( 0.57) | 30.54% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( 0.67) | 66.77% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Ekenas IF |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.26% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.96% Total : 25.17% |
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