SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Ilves |
33.52% ( 0.06) | 26.05% ( 0.11) | 40.42% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.22% ( -0.48) | 50.77% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.33% ( -0.42) | 72.66% ( 0.42) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( -0.2) | 28.73% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( -0.24) | 64.56% ( 0.24) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( -0.31) | 24.77% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.66% ( -0.43) | 59.33% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.52% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.42% |
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