This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and both sides will certainly believe that they can hurt the other in the final third of the field. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we have a feeling that Valencia will edge a close match in front of their own supporters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
-0.92) 
1.22) 
