Real Sociedad will be desperate to pick up their first away victory of the season, but after failing to win any of their last six away meetings with Valencia, we think that they will have to settle for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
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