Vasco da Gama may have struggled in recent matches, all of which were away from home, but the hosts will undoubtedly gain significant confidence from playing on their own turf.
They are unbeaten against Bragantino at this ground and have an impressive five-match unbeaten home record going into this encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
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