SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Juventude |
50.24% ( 0.34) | 25.13% ( -0.13) | 24.62% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.45% ( 0.36) | 51.54% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( 0.31) | 73.34% ( -0.32) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( 0.28) | 20.53% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.97% ( 0.45) | 53.03% ( -0.46) |
| Juventude Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.24% ( 0.02) | 35.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.47% ( 0.02) | 72.52% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Juventude |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 50.24% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.94% Total : 24.62% |
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