Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
0.14) 
-0.16) 
