Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
-0.13) 
0.02) 
