Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
-0.23) 
0.01) 
