Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Como had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
-0.3) 
0.32) 
