Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reggina in this match.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
