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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.45%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
22.6% ( -7.46) | 21.95% ( 0.13) | 55.45% ( 7.34) |
| Both teams to score 59.08% ( -8.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.2% ( -7.36) | 39.8% ( 7.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.84% ( -8.08) | 62.16% ( 8.09) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( -9.19) | 31.08% ( 9.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( -12.26) | 67.4% ( 12.27) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.71% ( -0.22) | 14.29% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.91% ( -0.43) | 42.09% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 5.9% ( -1.07) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.51)2-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.52)3-1 @ 2.3% ( -1.23)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -1.23)3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.62)Other @ 2.76% Total : 22.6% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.92) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -1.09)0-0 @ 4.44% ( 1.36)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.81)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.83) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 2.6)0-2 @ 8.41% ( 2.49)1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.49)0-3 @ 5.45% ( 1.58)2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.75)1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.22)0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.75)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.38)1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.29)Other @ 3.23% Total : 55.45% |
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