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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
WB

VfL Bochum
1 - 1
Werder Bremen

Osterhage (64')
Gamboa (3'), Stoger (25'), Bero (72'), Losilla (75'), Bernardo (90+5'), Riemann (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stark (90+3')
Jung (25'), Stage (35'), Bittencourt (42'), Stark (66'), Ducksch (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, December 19 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 Werder Bremen

We anticipate a tight contest on Sunday between two sides who sit level on points and will be desperate to avoid a harmful defeat. Werder Bremen return to action with more momentum but are yet to win on the road this season, and we anticipate the teams sharing the points and maintaining a healthy lead over the relegation zone at the hallway point of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawWerder Bremen
47.57% (-0.994 -0.99) 22.97% (0.302 0.3) 29.46% (0.688 0.69)
Both teams to score 62.42% (-0.621 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.56% (-1.026 -1.03)38.43% (1.022 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.27% (-1.095 -1.1)60.72% (1.093 1.09)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (-0.74900000000001 -0.75)16.49% (0.746 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.78% (-1.363 -1.36)46.21% (1.359 1.36)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)25.24% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (-0.101 -0.1)59.99% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 47.57%
    Werder Bremen 29.46%
    Draw 22.96%
VfL BochumDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.5% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 47.57%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.138 0.14)
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.263 0.26)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 VfL Bochum
Friday, December 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-0 VfL Bochum
Sunday, November 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, December 19 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, December 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Frankfurt
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga


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