SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | Riga FC |
29.52% ( -0.17) | 23.1% ( -0.01) | 47.39% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 62% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.99% ( -0.04) | 39.01% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.67% ( -0.05) | 61.33% ( 0.05) |
| Vikingur Reykjavik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( -0.13) | 25.49% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( -0.18) | 60.34% ( 0.18) |
| Riga FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( 0.05) | 16.78% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.26% ( 0.09) | 46.74% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | Riga FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.52% | 1-1 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 4.27% Total : 47.39% |
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