SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
32.87% ( -0.03) | 24.87% ( -0.02) | 42.27% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( 0.1) | 45.73% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( 0.1) | 68.05% ( -0.09) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( 0.03) | 26.68% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( 0.04) | 61.93% ( -0.03) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( 0.08) | 21.65% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( 0.11) | 54.77% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.87% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.27% |
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