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J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 at 11am UK
NOEVIR Stadium Kobe

Vissel Kobe
1 - 0
Avispa Fukuoka

Miyashiro (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kitajima (17')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Vissel Kobe and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 1-4 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, May 11 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.

Result
Vissel KobeDrawAvispa Fukuoka
49.19% (0.078000000000003 0.08) 26.02% (-0.026 -0.03) 24.8% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.63% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (0.058999999999997 0.06)54.81% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (0.050000000000001 0.05)76.11% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68% (0.061000000000007 0.06)22.32% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09)55.79% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.6% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.4% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.82% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)74.18% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vissel Kobe 49.18%
    Avispa Fukuoka 24.8%
    Draw 26.01%
Vissel KobeDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.39% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.69% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 49.18%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.8%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cerezo 1-4 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-2 Albirex Niigata
Monday, May 6 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Friday, May 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, May 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Kawasaki
Monday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Gamba Osaka
Friday, May 3 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League


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