Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.